INSA poll of 12 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 11 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 2,044
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- Grüne21.0%-1.0
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP8.5%+0.5
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Jul 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,044 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Jul 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 22.3
- AfD +1.0average 10.0
- FDP +0.9average 7.6
- SPD -0.7average 20.7
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 26.7
- Linke -0.1average 4.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- Grüne151
- SPD144
- AfD79
- FDP61
- CDU/CSU + Grüne346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD374 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.