INSA poll of 10 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 8 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%±0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.5
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others9.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Jul 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 Jul 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Jul 2022, FDP loses 1.5 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.8average 20.8
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 26.7
- Linke -0.5average 4.5
- Grüne -0.3average 22.3
- FDP +0.3average 7.7
- AfD ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- Grüne159
- SPD138
- AfD72
- FDP58
- CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.