INSA poll of 5 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 4 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 2,066
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP9.5%+0.5
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jul 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,066 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jul 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points lower and FDP 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.0average 21.0
- FDP +1.8average 7.7
- Grüne -1.1average 22.1
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 27.0
- AfD +0.6average 10.4
- Linke -0.5average 4.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- Grüne150
- SPD135
- AfD78
- FDP68
- CDU/CSU + Grüne349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD363 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.