INSA poll of 3 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Jun 2022 to 1 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,253
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%+0.5
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD11.0%+0.5
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jun 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,253 people were surveyed from 27 Jun 2022 to 1 Jul 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jun 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.3average 7.7
- SPD -1.0average 21.0
- AfD +0.6average 10.4
- Linke -0.5average 4.5
- Grüne -0.1average 22.1
- CDU/CSU ±0average 27.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU191
- Grüne156
- SPD141
- AfD78
- FDP64
- CDU/CSU + Grüne347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD375 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.