INSA poll of 27 June 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 27 Jun 2022
- Respondents
- 2,101
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.5%-0.5
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD10.5%-0.5
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Jun 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.5%. 2,101 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Jun 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.3average 7.7
- SPD -1.0average 21.0
- Linke -0.5average 4.5
- Grüne -0.4average 21.9
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
- AfD +0.1average 10.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- Grüne154
- SPD143
- AfD75
- FDP64
- CDU/CSU + Grüne348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD372 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.