Single poll

INSA poll of 26 June 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
20 to 24 Jun 2022
Respondents
1,414
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-2.0
  • Grüne22.0%+1.0
  • SPD20.0%+0.5
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%-0.5
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Jun 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,414 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Jun 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Jun 2022, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +1.3average 7.7
  • CDU/CSU -1.1average 27.1
  • SPD -1.0average 21.0
  • AfD +0.6average 10.4
  • Linke -0.5average 4.5
  • Grüne +0.1average 21.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 186 seatsGrüne: 158 seatsSPD: 143 seatsAfD: 79 seatsFDP: 64 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU186
  • Grüne158
  • SPD143
  • AfD79
  • FDP64
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD380 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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