Single poll

INSA poll of 20 June 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
17 to 20 Jun 2022
Respondents
2,063
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
  • Grüne21.0%±0
  • SPD19.5%-0.5
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • FDP9.5%+0.5
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others8.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Jun 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,063 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Jun 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.9 points lower and FDP 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.9average 21.4
  • FDP +1.8average 7.7
  • Linke -0.7average 4.7
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 27.5
  • Grüne -0.2average 21.2
  • AfD -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 200 seatsGrüne: 150 seatsSPD: 140 seatsAfD: 72 seatsFDP: 68 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU200
  • Grüne150
  • SPD140
  • AfD72
  • FDP68
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD362 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP340 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.