Single poll

INSA poll of 19 June 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
13 to 17 Jun 2022
Respondents
1,501
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%-0.5
  • Grüne21.0%±0
  • SPD20.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%-0.5
  • FDP9.0%-0.5
  • Linke4.0%+0.5
  • Others9.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Jun 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,501 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 Jun 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Jun 2022, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.4average 21.4
  • FDP +1.3average 7.7
  • Linke -0.7average 4.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.5average 27.5
  • Grüne -0.2average 21.2
  • AfD -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 196 seatsGrüne: 152 seatsSPD: 145 seatsAfD: 72 seatsFDP: 65 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU196
  • Grüne152
  • SPD145
  • AfD72
  • FDP65
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD369 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP333 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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