Single poll

INSA poll of 14 June 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
10 to 13 Jun 2022
Respondents
2,082
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU27.5%+0.5
  • Grüne21.0%±0
  • SPD20.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.5%+0.5
  • FDP9.5%+0.5
  • Linke3.5%-0.5
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jun 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,082 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jun 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.6 points lower and FDP 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.6average 21.6
  • FDP +1.6average 7.9
  • Linke -1.1average 4.6
  • AfD +0.5average 10.0
  • CDU/CSU +0.2average 27.3
  • Grüne -0.2average 21.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 196 seatsGrüne: 149 seatsSPD: 142 seatsAfD: 75 seatsFDP: 68 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU196
  • Grüne149
  • SPD142
  • AfD75
  • FDP68
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD366 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.