Single poll

INSA poll of 12 June 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
7 to 10 Jun 2022
Respondents
1,203
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • SPD21.0%+1.0
  • Grüne21.0%-0.5
  • AfD10.0%-0.5
  • FDP9.0%-0.5
  • Linke4.0%+0.5
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Jun 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 7 to 10 Jun 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Jun 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +0.9average 8.1
  • Linke -0.7average 4.7
  • SPD -0.6average 21.6
  • AfD -0.2average 10.2
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
  • Grüne +0.1average 20.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 194 seatsSPD: 150 seatsGrüne: 150 seatsAfD: 72 seatsFDP: 64 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU194
  • SPD150
  • Grüne150
  • AfD72
  • FDP64
  • CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne344 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD372 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP330 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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