Single poll

INSA poll of 7 June 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
3 to 7 Jun 2022
Respondents
2,055
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • Grüne21.5%+1.5
  • SPD20.0%-2.0
  • AfD10.5%+1.5
  • FDP9.5%+0.5
  • Linke3.5%-0.5
  • Others8.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Jun 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.5%. 2,055 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Jun 2022, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.5 points, AfD gains 1.5 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.2average 21.2
  • FDP +1.2average 8.3
  • AfD +0.9average 9.6
  • Linke -0.9average 4.4
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 27.4
  • Grüne +0.3average 21.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 192 seatsGrüne: 153 seatsSPD: 142 seatsAfD: 75 seatsFDP: 68 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU192
  • Grüne153
  • SPD142
  • AfD75
  • FDP68
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD370 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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