Single poll

INSA poll of 4 June 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
30 May 2022 to 3 Jun 2022
Respondents
1,501
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • SPD22.0%±0
  • Grüne20.0%-0.5
  • FDP9.0%+0.5
  • AfD9.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.0%+0.5
  • Others9.0%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 May 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,501 people were surveyed from 30 May 2022 to 3 Jun 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 May 2022, AfD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.3average 21.3
  • SPD +0.8average 21.2
  • FDP +0.8average 8.2
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 27.6
  • AfD -0.5average 9.5
  • Linke -0.4average 4.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 196 seatsSPD: 159 seatsGrüne: 145 seatsFDP: 65 seatsAfD: 65 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU196
  • SPD159
  • Grüne145
  • FDP65
  • AfD65
  • CDU/CSU + SPD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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