INSA poll of 31 May 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 May 2022
- Respondents
- 2,056
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD22.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.5%+1.5
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- FDP8.5%-0.5
- Linke3.5%-0.5
- Others8.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 May 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 2,056 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 May 2022, Grüne gains 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -0.8average 4.3
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 27.5
- AfD +0.5average 9.5
- FDP +0.5average 8.0
- SPD -0.2average 22.2
- Grüne -0.2average 20.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- SPD157
- Grüne147
- AfD72
- FDP61
- CDU/CSU + SPD350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne340 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD376 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.