Single poll

INSA poll of 28 May 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
23 to 27 May 2022
Respondents
1,337
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%-1.5
  • SPD23.0%+1.0
  • Grüne19.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%+0.5
  • AfD9.0%-1.5
  • Linke4.0%+1.0
  • Others9.0%+1.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 May 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,337 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 May 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 May 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, AfD loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.5average 20.5
  • FDP +1.0average 8.0
  • AfD -0.7average 9.7
  • SPD +0.4average 22.6
  • Linke -0.3average 4.3
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 195 seatsSPD: 167 seatsGrüne: 138 seatsFDP: 65 seatsAfD: 65 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU195
  • SPD167
  • Grüne138
  • FDP65
  • AfD65
  • CDU/CSU + SPD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne333 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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