INSA poll of 15 May 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 13 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,501
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-0.5
- SPD22.0%-0.5
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- FDP10.0%±0
- AfD10.0%-0.5
- Linke4.0%+0.5
- Others9.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 May 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,501 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 May 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 May 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.8 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.8average 23.8
- CDU/CSU +1.7average 25.3
- Grüne -1.5average 19.5
- FDP +0.8average 9.2
- Linke -0.4average 4.4
- AfD ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- SPD160
- Grüne130
- FDP72
- AfD72
- CDU/CSU + SPD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.