INSA poll of 16 May 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 16 May 2022
- Respondents
- 2,147
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- SPD21.5%-0.5
- Grüne20.5%+2.5
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 May 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 21.5%. 2,147 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 May 2022, Grüne gains 2.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.3 points lower and CDU/CSU 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.3average 23.8
- CDU/CSU +2.2average 25.8
- Linke -1.4average 4.4
- AfD +1.1average 9.9
- Grüne +1.0average 19.5
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- SPD151
- Grüne143
- AfD77
- FDP63
- CDU/CSU + SPD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD371 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.