INSA poll of 9 May 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 9 May 2022
- Respondents
- 2,086
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%+0.5
- SPD22.5%-0.5
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- AfD10.5%+0.5
- FDP10.0%-1.0
- Linke3.5%+0.5
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 May 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by SPD on 22.5%. 2,086 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 May 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.5 points higher and SPD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.5average 25.0
- SPD -1.8average 24.3
- Linke -1.0average 4.5
- FDP +0.6average 9.4
- AfD +0.3average 10.2
- Grüne +0.1average 18.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- SPD158
- Grüne134
- AfD74
- FDP70
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne328 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.