Single poll

INSA poll of 8 May 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
2 to 6 May 2022
Respondents
1,501
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • SPD23.0%±0
  • Grüne18.0%-1.0
  • FDP11.0%+1.5
  • AfD10.0%-0.5
  • Linke3.0%-1.5
  • Others8.0%+1.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 May 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,501 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 May 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 May 2022, FDP gains 1.5 points, Linke loses 1.5 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher and FDP 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.1average 24.9
  • FDP +1.6average 9.4
  • Linke -1.5average 4.5
  • SPD -1.4average 24.4
  • Grüne -0.8average 18.8
  • AfD -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 191 seatsSPD: 163 seatsGrüne: 127 seatsFDP: 78 seatsAfD: 71 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU191
  • SPD163
  • Grüne127
  • FDP78
  • AfD71
  • CDU/CSU + SPD354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP368 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD340 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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