INSA poll of 2 May 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Apr 2022 to 2 May 2022
- Respondents
- 2,146
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- SPD23.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- AfD10.5%-0.5
- FDP9.5%-0.5
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Others6.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 May 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,146 people were surveyed from 29 Apr 2022 to 2 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 May 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.4 points higher and SPD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.4average 24.6
- SPD -1.5average 24.5
- AfD +0.3average 10.2
- Grüne +0.1average 18.9
- FDP +0.1average 9.4
- Linke ±0average 4.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU191
- SPD163
- Grüne135
- AfD74
- FDP67
- CDU/CSU + SPD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD372 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.