INSA poll of 1 May 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 29 Apr 2022
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-0.5
- SPD23.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- AfD11.0%-0.5
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-0.5
- Others8.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Apr 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 25 to 29 Apr 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Apr 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.5average 24.5
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 24.6
- Grüne -0.9average 18.9
- AfD +0.8average 10.2
- FDP +0.6average 9.4
- Linke -0.5average 4.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- SPD164
- Grüne129
- AfD79
- FDP72
- CDU/CSU + SPD350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP387 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD372 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.