Single poll

INSA poll of 10 April 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
4 to 8 Apr 2022
Respondents
1,503
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • Grüne16.0%-1.5
  • AfD11.0%+0.5
  • FDP10.0%-0.5
  • Linke4.0%-0.5
  • Others8.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Apr 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,503 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 Apr 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Apr 2022, Grüne loses 1.5 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.6average 17.6
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 24.9
  • AfD +0.8average 10.2
  • FDP +0.8average 9.2
  • Linke -0.7average 4.7
  • SPD -0.4average 25.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 186 seatsSPD: 179 seatsGrüne: 114 seatsAfD: 79 seatsFDP: 72 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU186
  • SPD179
  • Grüne114
  • AfD79
  • FDP72
  • CDU/CSU + SPD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD379 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP372 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD372 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP337 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP330 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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