Single poll

INSA poll of 11 April 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
8 to 11 Apr 2022
Respondents
2,061
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • Grüne17.5%+1.5
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.5%+0.5
  • Others6.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Apr 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,061 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Apr 2022, Grüne gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.1average 24.9
  • AfD +0.8average 10.2
  • SPD -0.4average 25.4
  • FDP -0.2average 9.2
  • Linke -0.2average 4.7
  • Grüne -0.1average 17.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 190 seatsSPD: 176 seatsGrüne: 123 seatsAfD: 78 seatsFDP: 63 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU190
  • SPD176
  • Grüne123
  • AfD78
  • FDP63
  • CDU/CSU + SPD366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD391 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP376 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP331 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP317 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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