Single poll

INSA poll of 4 April 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
1 to 4 Apr 2022
Respondents
2,063
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • SPD25.0%-1.0
  • Grüne17.5%+1.5
  • FDP10.5%+0.5
  • AfD10.5%-0.5
  • Linke4.5%+0.5
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Apr 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,063 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Apr 2022, Grüne gains 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +0.9average 9.6
  • AfD +0.7average 9.8
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 25.5
  • Linke -0.5average 5.0
  • Grüne +0.4average 17.1
  • SPD +0.1average 24.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 183 seatsSPD: 176 seatsGrüne: 123 seatsFDP: 74 seatsAfD: 74 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU183
  • SPD176
  • Grüne123
  • FDP74
  • AfD74
  • CDU/CSU + SPD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP380 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD380 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP373 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD373 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD331 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD324 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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