Single poll

INSA poll of 27 March 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
21 to 25 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,205
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-0.5
  • SPD26.0%+1.5
  • Grüne16.0%-0.5
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP10.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%+0.5
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Mar 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,205 people were surveyed from 21 to 25 Mar 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Mar 2022, SPD gains 1.5 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.2average 24.8
  • Grüne -0.9average 16.9
  • AfD +0.9average 10.1
  • Linke -0.4average 5.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.3average 25.7
  • FDP +0.3average 9.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 174 seatsSPD: 174 seatsGrüne: 107 seatsAfD: 74 seatsFDP: 67 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU174
  • SPD174
  • Grüne107
  • AfD74
  • FDP67
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD355 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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