INSA poll of 21 March 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 21 Mar 2022
- Respondents
- 2,122
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%+0.5
- SPD24.5%-1.5
- Grüne16.5%+0.5
- FDP11.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Mar 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by SPD on 24.5%. 2,122 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Mar 2022, SPD loses 1.5 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.5average 9.5
- AfD +0.9average 10.1
- Linke -0.9average 5.4
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 25.9
- SPD -0.5average 25.0
- Grüne -0.3average 16.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- SPD173
- Grüne116
- FDP77
- AfD77
- CDU/CSU + SPD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD380 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP366 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD341 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD327 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.