INSA poll of 20 March 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 18 Mar 2022
- Respondents
- 1,198
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%+0.5
- SPD26.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%+0.5
- FDP10.0%-0.5
- AfD10.0%-0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Mar 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,198 people were surveyed from 14 to 18 Mar 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Mar 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.1average 24.9
- Grüne -0.5average 16.5
- Linke -0.5average 5.5
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 25.6
- FDP +0.4average 9.6
- AfD -0.3average 10.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- SPD176
- Grüne108
- FDP68
- AfD68
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.