Single poll

INSA poll of 14 March 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
11 to 14 Mar 2022
Respondents
2,073
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU25.5%+1.5
  • SPD25.0%-1.0
  • Grüne15.5%-0.5
  • FDP10.5%+0.5
  • AfD10.5%+0.5
  • Linke5.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Mar 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,073 people were surveyed from 11 to 14 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Mar 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -0.9average 16.4
  • FDP +0.9average 9.6
  • Linke -0.7average 5.7
  • AfD +0.3average 10.2
  • SPD +0.1average 24.9
  • CDU/CSU ±0average 25.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 175 seatsSPD: 171 seatsGrüne: 106 seatsFDP: 72 seatsAfD: 72 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU175
  • SPD171
  • Grüne106
  • FDP72
  • AfD72
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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