Single poll

INSA poll of 13 March 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
7 to 11 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,201
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD26.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%-0.5
  • Grüne16.0%+0.5
  • FDP10.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%-0.5
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others8.0%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Mar 2022.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,201 people were surveyed from 7 to 11 Mar 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Mar 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.5average 25.5
  • SPD +1.1average 24.9
  • Grüne -0.4average 16.4
  • FDP +0.4average 9.6
  • Linke +0.3average 5.7
  • AfD -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 178 seatsCDU/CSU: 164 seatsGrüne: 110 seatsFDP: 69 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD178
  • CDU/CSU164
  • Grüne110
  • FDP69
  • AfD68
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU342 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD342 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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