Single poll

INSA poll of 7 March 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
4 to 7 Mar 2022
Respondents
2,103
Method
Online
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU24.5%-0.5
  • Grüne15.5%+0.5
  • FDP11.0%±0
  • AfD10.5%-0.5
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others7.5%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Mar 2022.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.5%. 2,103 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Mar 2022, no party moves by more than one point.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +1.6average 9.4
  • CDU/CSU -1.2average 25.7
  • Grüne -0.7average 16.2
  • SPD +0.4average 24.6
  • Linke -0.2average 6.2
  • AfD +0.1average 10.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 170 seatsCDU/CSU: 167 seatsGrüne: 106 seatsFDP: 75 seatsAfD: 71 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD170
  • CDU/CSU167
  • Grüne106
  • FDP75
  • AfD71
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU337 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD344 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke317 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD316 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.