Single poll

INSA poll of 6 March 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
28 Feb 2022 to 4 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,185
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU25.0%-2.0
  • SPD25.0%+2.0
  • Grüne15.0%-0.5
  • FDP11.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%+0.5
  • Linke6.0%-0.5
  • Others7.0%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Mar 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,185 people were surveyed from 28 Feb 2022 to 4 Mar 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Mar 2022, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +1.6average 9.4
  • Grüne -1.2average 16.2
  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 25.7
  • AfD +0.6average 10.4
  • SPD +0.4average 24.6
  • Linke -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 169 seatsSPD: 169 seatsGrüne: 102 seatsFDP: 75 seatsAfD: 74 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU169
  • SPD169
  • Grüne102
  • FDP75
  • AfD74
  • Linke41
  • CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD345 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD318 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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