INSA poll of 1 March 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Feb 2022
- Respondents
- 2,067
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- SPD23.0%±0
- Grüne15.5%+0.5
- FDP11.0%±0
- AfD10.5%-1.5
- Linke6.5%-0.5
- Others6.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Feb 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,067 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Feb 2022, AfD loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.6 points lower and FDP 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.6average 24.6
- FDP +1.6average 9.4
- CDU/CSU +1.5average 25.5
- Grüne -0.8average 16.3
- AfD -0.2average 10.7
- Linke +0.2average 6.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- SPD155
- Grüne104
- FDP74
- AfD71
- Linke44
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD357 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD327 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.