Single poll

INSA poll of 29 March 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
25 to 28 Mar 2022
Respondents
2,070
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • SPD25.0%-1.0
  • Grüne16.5%+0.5
  • AfD10.5%-0.5
  • FDP10.0%±0
  • Linke5.5%+0.5
  • Others6.5%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Mar 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,070 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Mar 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +0.7average 9.8
  • CDU/CSU +0.6average 25.4
  • Grüne -0.6average 17.1
  • FDP +0.4average 9.6
  • Linke +0.4average 5.1
  • SPD -0.1average 25.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 175 seatsSPD: 169 seatsGrüne: 111 seatsAfD: 71 seatsFDP: 67 seatsLinke: 37 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU175
  • SPD169
  • Grüne111
  • AfD71
  • FDP67
  • Linke37
  • CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP353 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD351 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke323 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke317 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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