Single poll

INSA poll of 20 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
14 to 18 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,303
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
  • SPD22.0%-0.5
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%-1.0
  • Linke7.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Feb 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,303 people were surveyed from 14 to 18 Feb 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Feb 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.5 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.5average 24.5
  • CDU/CSU +1.8average 25.2
  • FDP +1.6average 9.4
  • AfD +0.9average 11.1
  • Grüne -0.6average 15.6
  • Linke +0.5average 6.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 181 seatsSPD: 147 seatsGrüne: 101 seatsAfD: 80 seatsFDP: 74 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU181
  • SPD147
  • Grüne101
  • AfD80
  • FDP74
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD328 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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