INSA poll of 21 February 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 21 Feb 2022
- Respondents
- 1,539
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD23.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.5%-0.5
- FDP12.5%+1.5
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Feb 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,539 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Feb 2022, FDP gains 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 3.0 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +3.0average 9.5
- CDU/CSU +1.7average 25.3
- SPD -1.3average 24.3
- Grüne -1.3average 15.8
- Linke -0.4average 6.4
- AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- SPD154
- Grüne97
- FDP84
- AfD74
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP335 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.