Single poll

INSA poll of 14 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
11 to 14 Feb 2022
Respondents
2,141
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • SPD22.5%+0.5
  • Grüne15.0%-1.0
  • FDP12.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others6.5%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Feb 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 22.5%. 2,141 people were surveyed from 11 to 14 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Feb 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 2.4 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +2.4average 9.6
  • SPD -1.3average 23.8
  • Grüne -0.9average 15.9
  • AfD +0.8average 11.2
  • CDU/CSU +0.4average 25.6
  • Linke -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 175 seatsSPD: 152 seatsGrüne: 101 seatsFDP: 81 seatsAfD: 81 seatsLinke: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU175
  • SPD152
  • Grüne101
  • FDP81
  • AfD81
  • Linke40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD327 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD337 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP334 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD334 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke316 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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