Single poll

INSA poll of 6 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
1 to 4 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,202
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+2.0
  • SPD22.0%-2.0
  • Grüne16.0%+1.0
  • FDP11.0%-1.5
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • Linke6.0%-0.5
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Jan 2022.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Feb 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Jan 2022, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.5 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.2 points higher and SPD 2.1 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.2average 24.8
  • SPD -2.1average 24.1
  • FDP +1.0average 10.0
  • Grüne -0.2average 16.2
  • AfD +0.1average 10.9
  • Linke +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 183 seatsSPD: 149 seatsGrüne: 108 seatsFDP: 75 seatsAfD: 74 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU183
  • SPD149
  • Grüne108
  • FDP75
  • AfD74
  • Linke41
  • CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD332 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD331 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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