INSA poll of 31 January 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 31 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 2,147
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%+1.0
- SPD24.0%-2.0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- FDP12.5%+1.5
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke6.5%+0.5
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Jan 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 2,147 people were surveyed from 28 to 31 Jan 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Jan 2022, SPD loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 2.1 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.1average 10.4
- CDU/CSU +1.5average 23.5
- SPD -1.2average 25.2
- Grüne -1.2average 16.2
- AfD -0.8average 10.8
- Linke +0.7average 5.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU169
- SPD162
- Grüne102
- FDP85
- AfD68
- Linke44
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.