INSA poll of 30 January 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 28 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 1,383
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU24.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- FDP11.0%-0.5
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others6.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Jan 2022.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,383 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Jan 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Jan 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +0.8average 25.2
- FDP +0.6average 10.4
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 23.5
- Grüne -0.2average 16.2
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
- Linke +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD174
- CDU/CSU161
- Grüne107
- FDP74
- AfD74
- Linke40
- SPD + CDU/CSU335 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD342 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.