INSA poll of 24 January 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 24 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 2,146
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU24.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- FDP11.5%-0.5
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others6.5%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Jan 2022.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,146 people were surveyed from 21 to 24 Jan 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Jan 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 23.1
- Grüne -0.9average 15.9
- FDP +0.7average 10.8
- Linke +0.7average 5.3
- SPD -0.2average 26.2
- AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD175
- CDU/CSU162
- Grüne101
- FDP78
- AfD74
- Linke40
- SPD + CDU/CSU337 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP354 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD337 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD327 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.