INSA poll of 22 January 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 21 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU23.0%+0.5
- Grüne16.0%+0.5
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jan 2022.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 17 to 21 Jan 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jan 2022, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.2average 10.8
- AfD +1.0average 11.0
- Linke +0.7average 5.3
- SPD -0.2average 26.2
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 23.1
- Grüne +0.1average 15.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD172
- CDU/CSU152
- Grüne106
- FDP80
- AfD80
- Linke40
- SPD + CDU/CSU324 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD338 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD332 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.