INSA poll of 17 January 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 2,130
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU22.5%-0.5
- Grüne15.5%-0.5
- FDP12.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Jan 2022.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.5%. 2,130 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Jan 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Jan 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 10.6
- FDP +0.9average 11.1
- Linke +0.8average 5.2
- SPD -0.5average 26.5
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 23.0
- Grüne -0.3average 15.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD174
- CDU/CSU151
- Grüne104
- FDP81
- AfD80
- Linke40
- SPD + CDU/CSU325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD335 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.