INSA poll of 16 January 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 14 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 1,504
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD27.0%+0.5
- CDU/CSU23.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP11.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others6.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Jan 2022.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,504 people were surveyed from 10 to 14 Jan 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Jan 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 10.6
- SPD +0.5average 26.5
- Grüne +0.2average 15.8
- Linke -0.2average 5.2
- FDP -0.1average 11.1
- CDU/CSU ±0average 23.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD181
- CDU/CSU154
- Grüne107
- AfD80
- FDP74
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU335 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD368 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD341 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP335 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.