INSA poll of 10 January 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 10 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 2,107
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.5%-0.5
- CDU/CSU23.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others6.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Jan 2022.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 2,107 people were surveyed from 7 to 10 Jan 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Jan 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.5average 10.5
- Grüne -0.7average 15.7
- FDP +0.7average 11.3
- SPD -0.5average 27.0
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 22.8
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD178
- CDU/CSU155
- Grüne101
- FDP81
- AfD81
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU333 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD360 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.