Single poll

INSA poll of 8 January 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
3 to 7 Jan 2022
Respondents
1,504
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD27.0%+0.5
  • CDU/CSU23.0%±0
  • Grüne16.0%+0.5
  • FDP12.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%-0.5
  • Linke5.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jan 2022.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,504 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Jan 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jan 2022, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +0.7average 11.3
  • AfD +0.5average 10.5
  • Grüne +0.3average 15.7
  • CDU/CSU +0.2average 22.8
  • Linke +0.1average 4.9
  • SPD ±0average 27.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 181 seatsCDU/CSU: 154 seatsGrüne: 107 seatsFDP: 80 seatsAfD: 74 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD181
  • CDU/CSU154
  • Grüne107
  • FDP80
  • AfD74
  • Linke34
  • SPD + CDU/CSU335 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP368 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD335 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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