INSA poll of 3 January 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Dec 2021 to 3 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 2,060
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.5%-0.5
- CDU/CSU23.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.5%-0.5
- AfD11.5%+0.5
- FDP11.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- Others6.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Jan 2022.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 2,060 people were surveyed from 30 Dec 2021 to 3 Jan 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Jan 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.1average 10.4
- Linke +1.0average 5.0
- SPD -0.6average 27.1
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 22.7
- FDP -0.3average 11.3
- Grüne -0.2average 15.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD179
- CDU/CSU155
- Grüne104
- AfD78
- FDP74
- Linke40
- SPD + CDU/CSU334 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD361 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP333 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP331 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.