INSA poll of 1 January 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 1,201
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD27.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU24.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP10.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Dec 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,201 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Dec 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Dec 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 22.7
- FDP -1.3average 11.3
- AfD +0.6average 10.4
- Grüne +0.3average 15.7
- SPD -0.1average 27.1
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD183
- CDU/CSU163
- Grüne108
- AfD74
- FDP68
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU346 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD365 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.