INSA poll of 26 December 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 23 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 1,195
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD28.0%+0.5
- CDU/CSU23.0%+1.5
- Grüne15.0%+0.5
- FDP11.0%-2.0
- AfD11.0%-0.5
- Linke5.0%-0.5
- Others7.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Dec 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,195 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Dec 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Dec 2021, FDP loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +0.9average 27.1
- Grüne -0.7average 15.7
- AfD +0.7average 10.3
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 22.7
- FDP -0.3average 11.3
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD190
- CDU/CSU156
- Grüne102
- FDP74
- AfD74
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU346 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP366 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD332 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.