INSA poll of 20 December 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 20 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 2,075
- Method
- Online
- SPD27.5%+0.5
- CDU/CSU21.5%-1.5
- Grüne14.5%+0.5
- FDP13.0%+1.0
- AfD11.5%-0.5
- Linke5.5%+0.5
- Others6.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Dec 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 27.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.5%. 2,075 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Dec 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Dec 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.2average 10.3
- Grüne -1.1average 15.6
- FDP +1.1average 11.9
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 22.3
- Linke +0.6average 4.9
- SPD +0.4average 27.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD185
- CDU/CSU145
- Grüne98
- FDP88
- AfD77
- Linke37
- SPD + CDU/CSU330 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP371 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD360 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP331 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.