INSA poll of 19 December 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 18 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 1,501
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD27.0%±0
- CDU/CSU23.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%-0.5
- FDP12.0%-1.0
- AfD12.0%+0.5
- Linke5.0%-0.5
- Others7.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Dec 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,501 people were surveyed from 13 to 18 Dec 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Dec 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.7 points higher and Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 10.3
- Grüne -1.6average 15.6
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 22.3
- SPD -0.1average 27.1
- FDP +0.1average 11.9
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD183
- CDU/CSU156
- Grüne95
- FDP81
- AfD81
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.