INSA poll of 14 December 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 2,221
- Method
- Online
- SPD27.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- Grüne14.5%-0.5
- FDP13.0%±0
- AfD11.5%+0.5
- Linke5.5%+0.5
- Others6.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Dec 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,221 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Dec 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Dec 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.2average 15.7
- AfD +0.9average 10.6
- FDP +0.7average 12.3
- Linke +0.6average 4.9
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 21.8
- SPD +0.1average 26.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD182
- CDU/CSU148
- Grüne98
- FDP88
- AfD77
- Linke37
- SPD + CDU/CSU330 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP368 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD357 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD323 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.